[HOUSTON] Oil prices rose nearly 2 per cent on Wednesday (Apr 16) to a two-week high on concerns about global supplies after Washington issued new sanctions targeting Chinese importers of Iranian oil.
Brent crude futures settled up US$1.18, or 1.8 per cent, to US$65.85 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude ended US$1.14, or 1.9 per cent, higher at US$62.47.
Both benchmarks closed at their highest levels since Apr 3, according to data from LSEG.
The US on Wednesday issued new sanctions targeting Iran’s oil exports, including against a China-based “teapot refinery”, as US President Donald Trump seeks to ramp up pressure on Tehran and drive Iranian oil exports down to zero.
The action comes as the US government has relaunched negotiations with Iran over its nuclear programme this month.
Meanwhile, Iran’s right to enrich uranium is not negotiable, Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said ahead of the next round of talks in Rome on Saturday.
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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has received updated plans for Iraq, Kazakhstan and other countries to make further oil output cuts to compensate for pumping above agreed quotas, the group said, further buoying oil futures.
Elsewhere, US crude stockpiles rose while petrol and distillate inventories fell last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said.
Crude inventories rose by 515,000 barrels to 442.9 million barrels in the week ended Apr 11, the EIA said, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a 507,000-barrel rise.
Trump tariffs
The International Energy Agency said on Tuesday that global oil demand growth this year will be the lowest since 2020, when demand contracted due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
“The level of the tariff increases announced so far is significantly larger than anticipated. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth,” said Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell.
Oil futures pared some gains after Powell gave his remarks.
Trump has ratcheted up tariffs on Chinese goods, prompting Beijing to impose retaliatory duties on US imports.
“The world economy hinges in large part on whether the US and China can come to an agreement and not start a prolonged trade war,” Alex Hodes, director of market strategy at financial services firm StoneX, said in a note.
A Bloomberg report quoted an anonymous source as saying that China wants more respect from the Trump administration before it will agree to trade talks, analysts said.
“A de-escalation of the trade war between the US and China would reduce the downside in economic growth prospects and limit the downside for oil demand growth,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
The uncertainty over trade tensions has led several banks, including UBS, BNP Paribas and HSBC, to cut their crude price forecasts.
“Using a conservative estimate of a 15 per cent decline in global GDP growth, based on the impact of the US-China trade war of 2018 to 2019, we could see oil demand growth sputter to just 600,000 bpd in 2025, roughly half of our pre-tariff estimates,” said Janiv Shah, vice-president of commodity markets analysis at Rystad Energy.
Data showed China’s GDP grew 5.4 per cent year on year in the first quarter, beating the 5.1 per cent expected in a Reuters poll, but this growth is unlikely to continue through the year, said PVM Oil analyst Tamas Varga. REUTERS
