OIL prices climbed about 1 per cent on Friday (Nov 22), settling at a two-week high, as the intensifying war in Ukraine this week boosted the market’s geopolitical risk premium.
Brent futures rose US$0.94, or 1.3 per cent, to settle at US$75.17 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose US$1.14, or 1.6 per cent to settle at US$71.24.
Both crude benchmarks were up about 6 per cent for the week, their highest settlements since Nov 7 as Moscow stepped up its Ukraine offensive after Britain and the US allowed Kyiv to strike deeper into Russia with their missiles.
“The Russia-Ukraine escalation has raised geopolitical tensions beyond levels seen during the year-long conflict between Israel and Iran-backed militants,” said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen.
President Vladimir Putin said Russia would keep testing its new Oreshnik hypersonic missile in combat and had a stock ready for use. Russia fired the missile into Ukraine, prompted by Ukraine’s use of US ballistic missiles and British cruise missiles to hit Russia.
“What the market fears is accidental destruction in any part of oil, gas and refining that not only causes long-term damage but accelerates a war spiral,” said PVM analyst John Evans.
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The US, meanwhile, imposed new sanctions on Russia’s Gazprombank as President Joe Biden stepped up actions to punish Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine before he leaves office on Jan 20.
The Kremlin said the new US sanctions were an attempt by Washington to hinder the export of Russian gas, but noted that a solution would be found.
The US also banned food, metals and other imports from about 30 more Chinese companies over alleged forced labour involving the Uyghurs.
China, the world’s biggest oil importer, announced policy measures this week to boost trade, including support for energy product imports, amid worries over US President-elect Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs.
China’s crude oil imports were set to rebound in November, according to analysts, traders and ship tracking data.
Oil imports also increased in India, the world’s third biggest oil importer, as domestic consumption increased, according to government data.
Capping price gains
Pressuring prices on Friday, eurozone business activity took a surprisingly sharp turn for the worse this month as the bloc’s dominant services industry contracted and manufacturing sank deeper into recession.
In contrast, S&P Global said its flash US Composite PMI Output Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, increased to the highest level since April 2022, with the services sector providing the bulk of the increase.
But with those business activity gauges moving in opposite directions in the US and Europe, the US dollar jumped to a two-year high versus a basket of other currencies.
A stronger greenback makes oil more expensive in other countries, which can reduce demand.
In Germany, the biggest economy in Europe, the economy grew less than previously estimated in the third quarter, the statistics office reported on Friday. REUTERS
