GOLD prices eased on Monday (Jul 8) but hovered near a more than one-month high scaled in the previous session, after softer US data boosted expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.
Spot gold was down 0.2 per cent at US$2,385.88 per ounce, as at 0235 GMT, after rising to its highest level since May 22 on Friday. US gold futures eased 0.1 per cent to US$2,394.50.
Data on Friday showed that the unemployment rate hit a 2½-year high of 4.1 per cent, pointing to a slackening labour market. Market focus this week is on Fed chair Jerome Powell’s semi-annual Congressional testimony, comments from a series of Fed officials and US inflation data.
Friday’s weak jobs report helped gold prices enjoy the best week in three months, a soft US inflation report and a dovish tone from Powell, when he testified, looks like the ideal catalyst for gold to consider new highs, said Matt Simpson, a senior analyst at City Index.
Markets are expecting a 78 per cent chance of a September rate by the Fed, according to CME’s Fedwatch Tool. Traders are also pricing in a rising chance of a second rate cut in December.
Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
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However, bullion prices were capped by news that top consumer China’s central bank refrained from gold purchases to its reserves for a second consecutive month in June.
“China may have paused their gold purchases, but it remains in demand overall. And that is likely to keep gold on bullish watchlists and tempt bullish bets upon any dips,” Simpson said.
Spot silver fell 0.2 per cent to US$31.14 after hitting a one-month peak in the last session. Platinum edged 0.5 per cent lower to US$1,021.45 and palladium slipped 1.7 per cent to US$1,008.51. REUTERS
